The Currency of Politics: The Political Theory of Money from Aristotle to Keynes

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The Currency of Politics breaks the frame we use to understand money. More than an instrument or an institution, currency becomes a nerve center of political theory. Deeply in dialogue with the past, Stefan Eich compels us forward to conceptualize money as a medium for democratic agency—or its loss. A tour de force.”—Christine Desan, author of Making Money: Coin, Currency, and the Coming of Capitalism The book is readable for both economists and political scientists. I recommend Currency Politics to both sets of scholars. Economists will learn about the political aspects of exchange-regime choice and political scientists about the economic aspects."—Lawrence H. Officer, EH.Net With this framework in place, a set of case studies is used to test the relevance of political economy to currency policy at various stages in history: namely, the United States during the transition to the gold standard (1862-96); European monetary integration between 1973-94; and Latin American policy between 1970-2010. The individual elements of Frieden’s theories are tested empirically to understand how important the political economy of currency policy is to explain voting patterns and government policy choices.

The appeal of this text to economists and political scientists alike is obvious; however, it also explains monetary economics with such clarity that it is unusually accessible – at least for the field of economics – to a more general audience. Think of it as occupying the middle ground between pop economics titles, like Freakonomics, and more formidable volumes, such as Thomas Piketty’s Capital in the Twenty-First Century. Jeffry A. Frieden, Currency Politics: The Political Economy of Exchange Rate Policy (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2015). The first chapters introduce basic policy choices for managing the monetary system: exchange rate regimes, either fixed, floating or pegged to another currency, and a currency’s price level. The choice of regime depends on competing demands for stability and flexibility, while the price level is held in tension between supporting price competitiveness for exporters and the purchasing power of consumers. In Currency Politics, Frieden not only draws together beautifully the strands of his previous work, but he advances a new and entirely persuasive explanation of the euro project as an essential bulwark against competitive devaluations. Above all, he argues convincingly for the centrality of exchange rate policy to domestic politics, international relations, and macroeconomics in open economies."—Ronald Rogowski, University of California, Los Angeles

A pathbreaking new intellectual history of monetary policy. In examining how key thinkers approached the economic crises of their respective times, Eich offers a map for navigating the politics of money today."—Daniel Steinmetz-Jenkins, The Nation In the use of case studies and the inclusion of historical and contextual factors, Currency Politics introduces a meaningful narrative to the analysis. Pure economic analysis is typically deterministic and struggles to account for contingent factors. By considering social, institutional and historical aspects, the text succeeds in treating the economy for what it really is: a complex and interdependent phenomenon. An intellectual history of money that theoretically grounds the works of others working on democratizing money. The Currency of Politics is a great addition to the philosophy of money."—Valerie Schreur, Oeconomia

A deep ex­amination of the theoretical and political foundations of money that rescues the money discus­sion from economists."—Pratap Bhanu Mehta, Open Magazine The field of currency policy is increasingly important as the global economy becomes ever more integrated; however, it is poorly understood by the general public and often forgotten until a crisis arises. The influence of contingent political factors on the ability of governments to change their monetary policy is shown to be profound. Frieden makes his research accessible to a broader audience through Currency Politics; it is a challenging read in parts, but worth the effort to understand how national politics shape currency policy and the possible future of international currency regimes. In addition to the event analysis, I simply regress the probability of Trump winning on the Mexican peso. I use Nate Silver's 538 blog (the aggregate “chance of winning” polls-plus measure) for Trump's electoral probability. 16 Nate Silver's probability calculations are a widely used and respected aggregator of available public opinion polls. I also use the Iowa Betting Markets, given that it involves more than simply cheap talk, as bettors have a financial stake in the outcome and thus an incentive to gather accurate information about the electoral probabilities. 17

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Agustín Carstens, the head of Mexico's central bank (Banxico) from 2010 to 2017, was charged with maintaining the stability and purchasing power of the peso. Carstens faced enormous challenges in his role as the head of Mexican monetary policy, not only because of domestic economic and political forces, but also because of elections in the country's northern neighbor. Carstens vividly described the impact of the US election on his ability to exercise domestic monetary policy: expressing frustration over his loss of power over the peso, he called President Trump's election, and the concomitant economic threats against Mexico, a “horror movie” and a “hurricane.” 1 He also said that Trump was able to completely disrupt his plans to stabilize the currency—which cost more than 2 billion dollars in hard reserves—with only two tweets, both focusing on investment by the auto industry in Mexico. 2 Carstens’ direct style of speaking further reveals his awareness of the effects: in comments to the Mexican Senate, he explained that “I'm going to say it like it is, in a very simple way: with two tweets from we know who, the effect faded away,” referring to the impact of his currency interventions relative to the influence of Trump's tweets. 3 My theory relies on insights from financial economists and the financial markets literature, notably the semi-strong version of the efficient markets hypothesis (EMH). The EMH states that financial markets incorporate all known information about an asset (in this case, currencies) and create a present value based on future expectations of the asset value ( Fama 1970). Thus, a decline in the value of a currency reflects shifting expectations about its value, driven by new information that causes those active in currency markets to expect the future value to be lower. However, markets incorporate information from a variety of global sources, including via foreign elections; there is no reason to think that only domestic drivers should affect currency values. Even though written clearly, this book is a challenging read; it surprises readers with sudden enlightenment on profound concepts like the impossible trinity, substitution and income effects of currency, the Mundell-Fleming-Dornush Framework, the Dornush overshooting model, and the optimum currency area theory, among others. As the author relates these concepts to historical events, the reader is compelled to continue reading the book until its conclusion."—Shishir Shakya, Review of Regional Studies Eich’s contribution demarcates a new space for political thought on money, and brings together key theorists on the structuration of money both to show that political thought often has a direct effect on the type of monetary system that is maintained, and to show that democratic agency vis-a-vis money is often wilfully ignored."—Dominic Burbidge, Politics and Poetics Eich’s work is sure to be a landmark in political science. His argument is bold and ambitious; his writing clear and engaging; and his message timely, persuasive and imperative."—Erik Jones, Survival